
TULSA – As FC Tulsa’s season heads into the home stretch, every match left on the schedule is magnified in importance. With only eight matches remaining in the 2021 USL Championship regular season and a Playoffs “Magic Number” of 16, your friendly neighborhood writers at www.fctulsa.com thought it would be fun to see just how FC Tulsa’s remaining schedule stacks up to the rest of the league.
While there are many ways to calculate strength of schedule, we kept it simple. First, we calculated the points per match each of the 31 USL Championship teams have earned already this season. Then we assigned those values to the remaining matches on each team’s schedule. A quick click of the average button and “ta-da” – a basic strength of schedule metric.
It’s important to note that in this 2021 USL Championship season that features select “out of division” matches, every schedule is different. Unlike in past seasons, where an Eastern Conference team played every other East team home and away, there is variance in opponents, which makes strength of schedule even more important.
We didn’t want to overcomplicate this, so we chose not to factor in home vs. road splits here. With fans back in the stands, that could certainly swing a matchup one way or the other.
Finally, keep in mind that this is merely a fun exercise meant to provide a quick comparison tool as the USL Championship season hits its final six weeks. It has no bearings on how good or bad a certain team is or their chances of making it to the postseason.
Onto a few intriguing storylines and a full strength of schedule ranking.
FC Tulsa’s Strength of Schedule – 10th out 31, 3rd in Central
FC Tulsa has a top 10 easiest schedule out of the 31 USL Championship clubs, but it still ranks behind Louisville City FC (6th) and Birmingham Legion FC (7th), the teams it is chasing in the Central Division. While out-of-division matches against El Paso and San Antonio provide the two hardest remaining tests out of the eight remaining matches, FC Tulsa has already exhausted its matches against Louisville and Birmingham. That means the other six Central Division matches for Tulsa in 2021 come against the five teams beneath it in the division.
The foursome of FC Tulsa’s out-of-division opponents – Rio Grande Valley FC, Austin Bold FC, San Antonio FC and El Paso Locomotive FC – looks pretty tough on paper, and two of those matches still must be played in October. El Paso is clearly one of the best teams in the league with just two losses all season and San Antonio is one of the teams to hand the Locomotive a loss. FC Tulsa will get to host El Paso but will have to make one more trip to Texas to play San Antonio on October 16.
Outside of those two matches, FC Tulsa’s schedule looks very appealing with matches left against Sporting Kansas City II, Memphis (x2), Indy, Atlanta and OKC Energy FC. FC Tulsa has beaten all of those teams at least once this year and will likely be favored in all six of those matches.
Rest of the Central Division
While Louisville City and Birmingham both have slightly easier schedules than FC Tulsa, one massive match looms at the end of the season when Louisville and Birmingham will face each other on the final matchday of 2021. While it seems almost a sure thing that all three teams will make the playoffs, that match could impact seeding amongst the sides.
OKC Energy FC currently sits in the fourth and final playoff spot in the Central Division, but will face the 3rd hardest remaining schedule in the league in its final seven matches. Its final five matches will be against San Antonio, Austin, Birmingham, El Paso and FC Tulsa – five teams in playoff position as it stands today. If Energy FC is going to return to the postseason for the first time since 2017, it will have to survive a gauntlet to get there.
Three teams are chasing OKC for that final Central Division playoff spot – Atlanta United 2, Indy Eleven and Memphis 901 FC. Of the three, Atlanta has the easiest remaining schedule, but the fewest remaining matches – seven. Memphis, still with 10 matches to play this season, has the most remaining possible points out, but will have to play Louisville City three more times and FC Tulsa twice in those 10 matches.
Other USL Championship Strength of Schedule Notes
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC has the hardest remaining schedule in the USL Championship and also only six remaining matches. The Riverhounds, in second place in the Atlantic Division, are chasing Tampa Bay Rowdies, who have the third easiest remaining schedule. The top of the Atlantic Division should provide some drama down the stretch.
- The easiest remaining schedule of playoff contenders is owned by San Diego Loyal SC. Currently in second in the Pacific Division, San Diego is trying to hold off a charge from Orange County SC, who sits in third, but has the 21st ranked strength of schedule.
- Despite a rough start to its inaugural USL Championship campaign, Oakland Roots has been one of the better teams in the league over the last month of the season. With the 11th easiest schedule remaining, Oakland could end up overtaking Tacoma for the final postseason berth in the Pacific Division.
- The Mountain Division playoff race has seen its share of twists and turns already in 2021 and the final six weeks could provide even more shake ups. Rio Grande Valley FC remains in the mix for a playoff spot despite going winless in its last eight matches. With the 8th easiest remaining schedule, RGV could put itself back in the chase with three huge matches against New Mexico United in its final eight tilts.
TULSA – As FC Tulsa’s season heads into the home stretch, every match left on the schedule is magnified in importance. With only eight matches remaining in the 2021 USL Championship regular season and a Playoffs “Magic Number” of 16, your friendly neighborhood writers at www.fctulsa.com thought it would be fun to see just how FC Tulsa’s remaining schedule stacks up to the rest of the league.
While there are many ways to calculate strength of schedule, we kept it simple. First, we calculated the points per match each of the 31 USL Championship teams have earned already this season. Then we assigned those values to the remaining matches on each team’s schedule. A quick click of the average button and “ta-da” – a basic strength of schedule metric.
It’s important to note that in this 2021 USL Championship season that features select “out of division” matches, every schedule is different. Unlike in past seasons, where an Eastern Conference team played every other East team home and away, there is variance in opponents, which makes strength of schedule even more important.
We didn’t want to overcomplicate this, so we chose not to factor in home vs. road splits here. With fans back in the stands, that could certainly swing a matchup one way or the other.
Finally, keep in mind that this is merely a fun exercise meant to provide a quick comparison tool as the USL Championship season hits its final six weeks. It has no bearings on how good or bad a certain team is or their chances of making it to the postseason.
Onto a few intriguing storylines and a full strength of schedule ranking.
FC Tulsa’s Strength of Schedule – 10th out 31, 3rd in Central
FC Tulsa has a top 10 easiest schedule out of the 31 USL Championship clubs, but it still ranks behind Louisville City FC (6th) and Birmingham Legion FC (7th), the teams it is chasing in the Central Division. While out-of-division matches against El Paso and San Antonio provide the two hardest remaining tests out of the eight remaining matches, FC Tulsa has already exhausted its matches against Louisville and Birmingham. That means the other six Central Division matches for Tulsa in 2021 come against the five teams beneath it in the division.
The foursome of FC Tulsa’s out-of-division opponents – Rio Grande Valley FC, Austin Bold FC, San Antonio FC and El Paso Locomotive FC – looks pretty tough on paper, and two of those matches still must be played in October. El Paso is clearly one of the best teams in the league with just two losses all season and San Antonio is one of the teams to hand the Locomotive a loss. FC Tulsa will get to host El Paso but will have to make one more trip to Texas to play San Antonio on October 16.
Outside of those two matches, FC Tulsa’s schedule looks very appealing with matches left against Sporting Kansas City II, Memphis (x2), Indy, Atlanta and OKC Energy FC. FC Tulsa has beaten all of those teams at least once this year and will likely be favored in all six of those matches.
Rest of the Central Division
While Louisville City and Birmingham both have slightly easier schedules than FC Tulsa, one massive match looms at the end of the season when Louisville and Birmingham will face each other on the final matchday of 2021. While it seems almost a sure thing that all three teams will make the playoffs, that match could impact seeding amongst the sides.
OKC Energy FC currently sits in the fourth and final playoff spot in the Central Division, but will face the 3rd hardest remaining schedule in the league in its final seven matches. Its final five matches will be against San Antonio, Austin, Birmingham, El Paso and FC Tulsa – five teams in playoff position as it stands today. If Energy FC is going to return to the postseason for the first time since 2017, it will have to survive a gauntlet to get there.
Three teams are chasing OKC for that final Central Division playoff spot – Atlanta United 2, Indy Eleven and Memphis 901 FC. Of the three, Atlanta has the easiest remaining schedule, but the fewest remaining matches – seven. Memphis, still with 10 matches to play this season, has the most remaining possible points out, but will have to play Louisville City three more times and FC Tulsa twice in those 10 matches.
Other USL Championship Strength of Schedule Notes
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC has the hardest remaining schedule in the USL Championship and also only six remaining matches. The Riverhounds, in second place in the Atlantic Division, are chasing Tampa Bay Rowdies, who have the third easiest remaining schedule. The top of the Atlantic Division should provide some drama down the stretch.
- The easiest remaining schedule of playoff contenders is owned by San Diego Loyal SC. Currently in second in the Pacific Division, San Diego is trying to hold off a charge from Orange County SC, who sits in third, but has the 21st ranked strength of schedule.
- Despite a rough start to its inaugural USL Championship campaign, Oakland Roots has been one of the better teams in the league over the last month of the season. With the 11th easiest schedule remaining, Oakland could end up overtaking Tacoma for the final postseason berth in the Pacific Division.
- The Mountain Division playoff race has seen its share of twists and turns already in 2021 and the final six weeks could provide even more shake ups. Rio Grande Valley FC remains in the mix for a playoff spot despite going winless in its last eight matches. With the 8th easiest remaining schedule, RGV could put itself back in the chase with three huge matches against New Mexico United in its final eight tilts.